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Negotiating Your Salary

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Big banks’ health is Europe’s big financial concern once again.

Many European banking institutions failed to cope when oil prices plummet seriously. So the stock exchange markets in EU do not tend to grow. There is a growing discontent among those banks investors. Many of them fear the worst – banks mass defaults of obligations.

The price to insure Deutsche Bank’s (DB) debts has increased almost twice over the past few months. Now it reached the highest level since the 2011 turmoil of sovereign debts, according to FactSet. Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CS) is also heavily criticized. The insurance cost of its debt jumped twice as well.

Fears for European banks adds up to global world economy slumps. And sparked rumors

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People still remember the Great Recession of 2008, it looms over investors. It doesn’t take a lot to spook everyone into being afraid that we’re going to have another global financial downturn.Will Smith

Thats Ed Yardmen’s point if view. He’s a president of investment consulting group Yardeni Research. Of course, today’s shortages of banks is not even close to the Great Recession crisis at this moment. And big banks in the America and EU grew much stronger since that turndown. Still, banks are causing some kind of panics this year. Shares of Bank of America (BAC) are down 27% this year while Goldman Sachs (GS) is 18% in the red. By comparison, the Dow is down “only” by 8%. European banks are doing even worse. Euro STOXX bank index lost around 30%, effectively downing to three-year lows. Deutsche Bank has dropped almost half its stock value over the past few months. “Now each bank in Europe and elsewhere is having its investment returns viability placed under big question mark…”. Michael Block, chief market strategist at Rhino Trading, told in a client note. So why do banks globally are having such are a hard time now?

New recession and oil prices effect

First, banks investing groups are on alarm. It is connected with the increased risk of new, bigger global recession. They are afraid that banks, and specifically big European ones  heavily depend on risky trading revenue.  Done instead of more stable and predictable deposits, they could suffer themselves a collapse.

Rumors that Deutsche Bank can be not affording itself to pay off interest rates for some debts due in April were a game changer. It forced Germany’s biggest bank to come out to worrisome investors twice in the course of 24 hours. John Cryan, the bank’s co-CEO, claims Deutsche Bank is “absolutely rock solid.” The other big crisis factor is the drop in commodities price — especially oil. Energy companies took a huge debt burden when oil was being sold at $100 a barrel. Now that it’s at $28, these loan defaults are on the rise and many small and mid-sized oil companies have already filed for bankruptcy.

So, all investors are worried big banks have done nada to brace for the coming uprise of oil defaults. Especially now, as oil tends to stay below $40 threshold for a long time. Will shale loans turn into the 2016 version of subprime for real estate and CDOs, synthetic CDOs? Government bankers are also making investors freaky. For example, U.S. bank stocks came up last year. It happened on a  wave of hopes the Federal Reserve would noticeably up the rates in 2016. Higher rates would have given banks more room to make money. Namely, on the difference between the interest they pay out on deposits and what they are taking on loans and credits.

But the 2016 market disaster has made chances the Fed raises rates much this year almost impossible. Frankly, worldwide central bankers are actively going the other way. The EU Central Bank prints new banknotes daily. It has and has even implied at more stimulus to come. And the Bank of Japan shocked the markets by introducing negative interest rates.

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“The scaring potential for a lengthy zero interest rate environment is spooky. made investors speak up against European banking shares,”. Relte Stephen Schutte, an analyst at research firm Markit, wrote in a note. Though, big banks are way healthier than in 2008. But some believe the financial “curing” has not been complete. Some think the “disease” of “not-to-big-to-fail” lingers on. “But still there’s very few systematic “errors” in the system now. Fewer than even in 2011, let alone 2007/2008,” Bespoke Investment Group wrote in a note.

Bespoke group also highlighted that big bank balance sheets are “dramatically” less leveraged.  Also they made it vocal that lenders have been forced to hold back a lot of capital to avoid future losses. Nevertheless, Bespoke said big banks can handle even the worst-case scenario. They could suffer a write-down of all their energy loans by using just twenty-five percent of their revenues. “I don’t think there is any economical crisis risks here. Bank capitalization in the United States and Europe is awfully good. It’s hard to be worried about it,”.  Said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds.

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The editorial board of our magazine constitutes of diverse analysts. Ranging from financial journalists, researchers, and people with operating experience on the markets and stock exchanges.

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  565. PBN sites
    We will generate a network of privately-owned blog network sites!

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  649. Rolex watches
    Understanding COSC Validation and Its Importance in Horology
    COSC Certification and its Stringent Standards
    Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres, or the Official Swiss Chronometer Testing Agency, is the official Swiss testing agency that certifies the accuracy and precision of wristwatches. COSC certification is a sign of quality craftsmanship and trustworthiness in timekeeping. Not all watch brands pursue COSC validation, such as Hublot, which instead follows to its proprietary stringent standards with mechanisms like the UNICO calibre, reaching comparable accuracy.

    The Art of Precision Timekeeping
    The core mechanism of a mechanized watch involves the spring, which delivers energy as it unwinds. This system, however, can be vulnerable to external factors that may influence its accuracy. COSC-validated mechanisms undergo demanding testing—over fifteen days in various circumstances (5 positions, 3 temperatures)—to ensure their resilience and dependability. The tests evaluate:

    Mean daily rate precision between -4 and +6 seconds.
    Mean variation, maximum variation rates, and impacts of temperature changes.
    Why COSC Validation Is Important
    For timepiece aficionados and collectors, a COSC-accredited watch isn’t just a item of technology but a testament to enduring excellence and precision. It represents a watch that:

    Offers outstanding dependability and accuracy.
    Offers guarantee of quality across the whole construction of the watch.
    Is likely to hold its value more effectively, making it a wise investment.
    Famous Chronometer Brands
    Several renowned brands prioritize COSC accreditation for their watches, including Rolex, Omega, Breitling, and Longines, among others. Longines, for instance, offers collections like the Record and Spirit, which highlight COSC-accredited mechanisms equipped with innovative materials like silicon balance suspensions to improve resilience and performance.

    Historical Context and the Evolution of Timepieces
    The idea of the timepiece originates back to the need for precise timekeeping for navigation at sea, highlighted by John Harrison’s work in the 18th cent. Since the official foundation of Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres in 1973, the certification has become a benchmark for evaluating the precision of luxury timepieces, maintaining a tradition of superiority in horology.

    Conclusion
    Owning a COSC-certified watch is more than an visual selection; it’s a commitment to quality and accuracy. For those appreciating precision above all, the COSC validation provides peacefulness of mind, guaranteeing that each accredited timepiece will perform dependably under various conditions. Whether for personal contentment or as an investment decision, COSC-validated timepieces stand out in the world of watchmaking, carrying on a legacy of precise timekeeping.

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