Big banks’ health is Europe’s big financial concern once again.
Many European banking institutions failed to cope when oil prices plummet seriously. So the stock exchange markets in EU do not tend to grow. There is a growing discontent among those banks investors. Many of them fear the worst – banks mass defaults of obligations.
The price to insure Deutsche Bank’s (DB) debts has increased almost twice over the past few months. Now it reached the highest level since the 2011 turmoil of sovereign debts, according to FactSet. Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CS) is also heavily criticized. The insurance cost of its debt jumped twice as well.
Fears for European banks adds up to global world economy slumps. And sparked rumors
People still remember the Great Recession of 2008, it looms over investors. It doesn’t take a lot to spook everyone into being afraid that we’re going to have another global financial downturn.Will Smith
Thats Ed Yardmen’s point if view. He’s a president of investment consulting group Yardeni Research. Of course, today’s shortages of banks is not even close to the Great Recession crisis at this moment. And big banks in the America and EU grew much stronger since that turndown. Still, banks are causing some kind of panics this year. Shares of Bank of America (BAC) are down 27% this year while Goldman Sachs (GS) is 18% in the red. By comparison, the Dow is down “only” by 8%. European banks are doing even worse. Euro STOXX bank index lost around 30%, effectively downing to three-year lows. Deutsche Bank has dropped almost half its stock value over the past few months. “Now each bank in Europe and elsewhere is having its investment returns viability placed under big question mark…”. Michael Block, chief market strategist at Rhino Trading, told in a client note. So why do banks globally are having such are a hard time now?
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First, banks investing groups are on alarm. It is connected with the increased risk of new, bigger global recession. They are afraid that banks, and specifically big European ones heavily depend on risky trading revenue. Done instead of more stable and predictable deposits, they could suffer themselves a collapse.
Rumors that Deutsche Bank can be not affording itself to pay off interest rates for some debts due in April were a game changer. It forced Germany’s biggest bank to come out to worrisome investors twice in the course of 24 hours. John Cryan, the bank’s co-CEO, claims Deutsche Bank is “absolutely rock solid.” The other big crisis factor is the drop in commodities price — especially oil. Energy companies took a huge debt burden when oil was being sold at $100 a barrel. Now that it’s at $28, these loan defaults are on the rise and many small and mid-sized oil companies have already filed for bankruptcy.
So, all investors are worried big banks have done nada to brace for the coming uprise of oil defaults. Especially now, as oil tends to stay below $40 threshold for a long time. Will shale loans turn into the 2016 version of subprime for real estate and CDOs, synthetic CDOs? Government bankers are also making investors freaky. For example, U.S. bank stocks came up last year. It happened on a wave of hopes the Federal Reserve would noticeably up the rates in 2016. Higher rates would have given banks more room to make money. Namely, on the difference between the interest they pay out on deposits and what they are taking on loans and credits.
But the 2016 market disaster has made chances the Fed raises rates much this year almost impossible. Frankly, worldwide central bankers are actively going the other way. The EU Central Bank prints new banknotes daily. It has and has even implied at more stimulus to come. And the Bank of Japan shocked the markets by introducing negative interest rates.
“The scaring potential for a lengthy zero interest rate environment is spooky. made investors speak up against European banking shares,”. Relte Stephen Schutte, an analyst at research firm Markit, wrote in a note. Though, big banks are way healthier than in 2008. But some believe the financial “curing” has not been complete. Some think the “disease” of “not-to-big-to-fail” lingers on. “But still there’s very few systematic “errors” in the system now. Fewer than even in 2011, let alone 2007/2008,” Bespoke Investment Group wrote in a note.
Bespoke group also highlighted that big bank balance sheets are “dramatically” less leveraged. Also they made it vocal that lenders have been forced to hold back a lot of capital to avoid future losses. Nevertheless, Bespoke said big banks can handle even the worst-case scenario. They could suffer a write-down of all their energy loans by using just twenty-five percent of their revenues. “I don’t think there is any economical crisis risks here. Bank capitalization in the United States and Europe is awfully good. It’s hard to be worried about it,”. Said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds.
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The idea of the timepiece originates back to the requirement for accurate timekeeping for navigation at sea, emphasized by John Harrison’s work in the eighteenth century. Since the official establishment of Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres in 1973, the certification has become a benchmark for judging the precision of high-end watches, continuing a legacy of superiority in horology.
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로드스탁과의 레버리지 스탁: 투자 전략의 신규 분야
로드스탁을 통해 제공되는 레버리지 스탁은 주식 시장의 투자법의 한 방식으로, 상당한 이익율을 목적으로 하는 투자자들에게 매혹적인 옵션입니다. 레버리지 사용을 사용하는 이 전략은 투자자가 자신의 자본을 초과하는 투자금을 투자할 수 있도록 함으로써, 증권 장에서 더욱 큰 영향력을 가질 수 있는 기회를 제공합니다.
레버리지 스탁의 원리
레버리지 방식의 스탁은 기본적으로 자본을 대여하여 투자하는 방식입니다. 예를 들어, 100만 원의 자금으로 1,000만 원 상당의 증권을 구매할 수 있는데, 이는 투자자들이 기본적인 투자 금액보다 훨씬 훨씬 더 많은 주식을 구매하여, 증권 가격이 올라갈 경우 해당하는 훨씬 더 큰 수익을 획득할 수 있게 합니다. 그러나, 증권 가격이 떨어질 경우에는 그 손실 또한 커질 수 있으므로, 레버리지를 사용할 때는 신중하게 생각해야 합니다.
투자 전략과 레버리지
레버리지는 특히 성장 가능성이 높은 회사에 적용할 때 유용합니다. 이러한 기업에 큰 비율을 통해 투자하면, 성공할 경우 막대한 이익을 획득할 수 있지만, 그 반대의 경우 상당한 위험성도 감수해야. 따라서, 투자자는 자신의 위험 관리 능력과 시장 분석을 통해, 어떤 사업체에 얼마만큼의 투자금을 투입할지 결정하게 됩니다 합니다.
레버리지 사용의 장점과 위험 요소
레버리지 방식의 스탁은 상당한 이익을 보장하지만, 그만큼 높은 위험성 동반합니다. 증권 거래의 변화는 예상이 어렵기 때문에, 레버리지를 사용할 때는 늘 시장 경향을 면밀히 살펴보고, 손해를 최소화할 수 있는 계획을 구성해야 합니다.
최종적으로: 조심스러운 선택이 필요
로드스탁을 통해 제공하는 레버리지 스탁은 강력한 투자 도구이며, 적당히 사용하면 상당한 수입을 가져다줄 수 있습니다. 하지만 큰 위험성도 신경 써야 하며, 투자 선택은 필요한 정보와 조심스러운 생각 후에 실시되어야 합니다. 투자하는 사람의 재정적 상태, 리스크 감수 능력, 그리고 시장의 상황을 고려한 균형 잡힌 투자 계획이 핵심입니다.
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